Inside Lazarus: Cybercrime’s billion-dollar rise

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The Evolution of Lazarus Group: From Basic Attacks to Billion-Dollar Breaches

Executive Summary

The February 2025 Bybit hack, resulting in the theft of $1.5 billion in cryptocurrency, represents the latest evolution in the sophisticated cyber operations of North Korea's Lazarus Group. This analysis examines the group's tactical development from 2009 to present, revealing a clear progression from basic Windows API manipulation techniques to highly sophisticated kernel-level exploits and multi-platform attack vectors. The group has expanded both geographically and in targeted sectors, moving from financial institutions to strategic targets including cryptocurrency exchanges, aerospace, and critical infrastructure.

This comprehensive assessment integrates intelligence from recent breach investigations, academic research, and technical analysis to provide cybersecurity leaders with actionable insights into Lazarus Group's operational patterns, helping organizations better defend against similar advanced persistent threats.

I. Introduction: The Evolving Threat Landscape

In February 2025, Bybit, the world's second-largest cryptocurrency exchange, suffered a catastrophic breach resulting in the theft of $1.5 billion in cryptocurrency assets. Within 24 hours, blockchain investigator ZachXBT and Arkham Intelligence identified the Lazarus Group, North Korea's elite hacking unit, as the perpetrator. This attack represents not just the largest cryptocurrency heist to date, but also demonstrates the culmination of a remarkable evolution in the group's technical capabilities and operational sophistication.

This in-depth analysis examines the Lazarus Group's developmental trajectory from 2009 to 2025, documenting their transformation from relatively straightforward cyber operations to executing some of history's most sophisticated digital heists. By analyzing their technical evolution, target selection patterns, and operational methodologies, this report provides cybersecurity leaders with a comprehensive understanding of how advanced persistent threats mature over time.

Our analysis synthesizes data from technical reports, academic research, and recent breach investigations to provide a holistic view of the threat actor's capabilities and likely future directions. The findings reveal a calculated, persistent adversary that has systematically expanded both its technical arsenal and strategic objectives.

II. Historical Context: The Genesis and Growth of Lazarus Group

Early Operations (2009-2018)

The Lazarus Group's origins can be traced to 2009, with early operations characterized by relatively basic, though effective, cyber attack methodologies. These early campaigns primarily targeted financial institutions in regions including Poland, Mexico, the United States, Turkey, and Central America.

During this formative period, the group's technical toolkit included:

  1. Dynamic Windows API resolution - A technique to evade static analysis by resolving API calls at runtime rather than import tables

  2. Obfuscation techniques - Basic code obfuscation to hinder reverse engineering efforts

  3. Self-deleting batch files - Simple persistence and anti-forensic techniques

  4. Fake TLS communication - Rudimentary attempts to disguise command and control traffic

While these techniques demonstrated technical competence, they were not particularly innovative within the broader threat landscape. The group's most notable early operation was the 2014 attack on Sony Pictures Entertainment, which employed destructive malware in response to the company's planned release of "The Interview," a film depicting the assassination of North Korea's leader.

Transitional Phase (2019-2020)

Between 2019 and 2020, security researchers observed a marked increase in the sophistication of Lazarus Group operations. The group expanded its targeting beyond traditional financial institutions to include broader cryptocurrency-related targets, reflecting North Korea's increasing focus on cryptocurrency as a means to evade international sanctions.

This period saw the emergence of more sophisticated techniques including:

  1. Custom malware packers - Advanced obfuscation mechanisms to evade signature-based detection

  2. Exploration of undocumented Windows features - Including manipulation of the PE Rich Header metadata

  3. Java downloaders - Early experimentation with cross-platform attack capabilities

The infamous WannaCry ransomware campaign, which affected over 200,000 computers across 150 countries, demonstrated the group's growing capability for global-scale attacks. During this period, researchers also noted the first indications of multiple, potentially independent operational cells within the broader Lazarus umbrella, suggesting an organizational expansion.

III. Technical Evolution: From Basic Exploits to Kernel-Level Manipulation

Advanced Kernel Techniques (2021-2022)

By 2021, Lazarus Group had reached a turning point in technical sophistication. Security researchers documented substantial advancements in their capabilities, most notably:

  1. Bring Your Own Vulnerable Driver (BYOVD) technique - Leveraging legitimate signed drivers (such as exploiting CVE-2021-21551 in a Dell driver) to achieve kernel-level access

  2. Kernel memory manipulation - Direct manipulation of kernel memory to disable security features

  3. Novel monitoring interface disabling - Advanced techniques to neutralize security monitoring tools

These techniques represent a significant leap in sophistication, demonstrating an in-depth understanding of operating system internals and security architecture. The ability to operate at the kernel level provides attackers with significant advantages in evading detection and maintaining persistence.

The exploitation of legitimate, signed drivers (BYOVD technique) is particularly notable as it leverages the trusted status of legitimate software components. This approach allows attackers to bypass security mechanisms that rely on code signing verification, which had become a cornerstone of Windows security architecture.

Multi-Platform Sophistication (2023-2024)

Between 2023 and 2024, the Lazarus Group demonstrated their adaptability by expanding beyond Windows-centric attacks to develop capabilities across multiple operating systems:

  1. Native payloads for Windows, Linux, and macOS - True cross-platform attack capabilities

  2. Decoy programming challenges - Tailored social engineering attacks for specific targets

  3. Themed decoys (e.g., Coinbase-themed) - Highly targeted phishing campaigns

  4. OpenSSL-based backdoors - Leveraging widely-used cryptographic libraries for stealth

  5. Custom client-server models - Sophisticated command and control infrastructure

  6. Multi-step network authentication - Advanced operational security measures

This expansion across platforms reflects the diversification of technology environments in high-value targets and the group's commitment to overcoming any technical barriers to their objectives. Their social engineering approaches became increasingly sophisticated and targeted, often crafted specifically for the technical staff of cryptocurrency organizations.

During this period, Lazarus Group's targeting patterns also diversified beyond financial institutions to include:

  • Aerospace companies in Spain

  • Agricultural entities in South Korea

  • Government contractors in various regions

  • Cryptocurrency platforms globally

This target expansion suggests a broadening of strategic objectives beyond immediate financial gain, potentially reflecting changing geopolitical priorities.

IV. The 2025 Bybit Breach: Culmination of Technical Evolution

The February 2025 Bybit breach represents the apex of Lazarus Group's technical evolution, demonstrating sophisticated operational planning, advanced technical capabilities, and strategic patience. According to technical analysis of the breach, the attackers:

  1. Exploited cold wallet authorization processes - Rather than attempting to compromise the technically challenging cold storage directly, the attackers focused on the human and procedural elements of the authorization system

  2. Employed interface manipulation techniques - The attackers presented legitimate-appearing interfaces while executing unauthorized code beneath

  3. Executed a complex transaction deception - The attack "employed a deceptive transaction that masked the interface presented to the cold wallet signers," according to Acronis Lead TRU researcher Santiago Pontiroli

Blockchain analysis by ZachXBT connected the Bybit breach to previous attacks on cryptocurrency exchanges Phemex and BingX through analysis of test transactions, connected wallet patterns, and timing correlation. This operational pattern—conducting small test transactions before major exploits—has become a signature element of the group's cryptocurrency operations.

The sequence of test transactions and connected wallets revealed a methodical approach to ensuring technical components functioned as expected before executing the main attack. This patience and thoroughness distinguish sophisticated threat actors from opportunistic attackers and significantly contribute to their success rate.

The $1.5 billion stolen in the Bybit breach, combined with previous cryptocurrency thefts, represents a significant financial windfall for a regime facing strict international sanctions. This economic motivation, coupled with the relatively low risk of meaningful consequences, creates a powerful incentive for continued operations.

V. Operational Patterns and Infrastructure

Analysis of Lazarus Group's operations over time reveals several consistent operational patterns that have evolved alongside their technical capabilities:

Modular Toolset and Infrastructure

The group employs a diverse and modular attack toolkit, including:

  1. Remote Access Trojans (RATs) - For persistent access and interactive control

  2. Backdoors - For long-term access and stealth

  3. Droppers and loaders - For initial access and payload delivery

  4. Downloaders - For multi-stage attacks and updates

This modularity provides operational flexibility and complicates attribution efforts. Security researchers have also noted evidence of infrastructure sharing across different campaigns, suggesting that the Lazarus Group may operate as multiple semi-independent cells sharing code and techniques rather than a monolithic entity.

Multi-Stage Attack Methodology

Lazarus operations typically follow a multi-stage approach:

  1. Initial Access - Often through spear-phishing, fake job offers, or themed decoys

  2. Reconnaissance - Low-profile activity to map the target environment

  3. Privilege Escalation - Leveraging techniques like BYOVD to gain higher system access

  4. Lateral Movement - Expanding control within the target network

  5. Persistence - Establishing multiple access methods to ensure continued access

  6. Data Exfiltration or Destruction - Depending on mission objectives

This methodical approach demonstrates significant operational discipline and suggests comprehensive planning before execution. The increasing sophistication of each stage over time highlights the group's commitment to developing their capabilities.

Geographical Diversification

The Lazarus Group has expanded their geographical focus considerably:

  • Early operations (2009-2018): Poland, Mexico, United States, Turkey, Central America

  • Recent campaigns (2022-2025): Global operations including Spain, South America, Tanzania, South Korea, Georgia

This expansion demonstrates both growing operational capability and likely reflects shifting strategic priorities. The global nature of cryptocurrency markets has likely influenced this geographical diversification, as valuable targets now exist worldwide rather than being concentrated in traditional financial centers.

VI. Strategic Implications and Defensive Considerations

Blurring Lines Between Cybercrime and State Activity

The Lazarus Group exemplifies the increasingly blurred line between cybercriminal activity and state-sponsored operations. While their cryptocurrency heists generate immediate financial returns, their targeting patterns suggest broader strategic objectives:

  1. Sanctions Evasion - Cryptocurrency theft provides a mechanism to bypass international financial sanctions

  2. Intelligence Collection - Targeting of aerospace and agricultural sectors suggests broader intelligence objectives

  3. Strategic Disruption - Attacks on critical infrastructure could provide leverage during geopolitical tensions

This dual-purpose nature complicates defensive responses, as traditional cybercrime countermeasures may be insufficient against adversaries with state resources and protection.

Implications for Cryptocurrency Security

The targeting of cryptocurrency exchanges highlights critical security challenges in this sector:

  1. Cold Wallet Authorization Processes - The Bybit breach demonstrates vulnerabilities even in supposedly secure cold storage systems, particularly at the human-computer interface

  2. Transaction Verification - The need for more robust verification systems that can detect deceptive interfaces

  3. Smart Contract Security - As exchanges increasingly rely on smart contracts, these become high-value targets

Cryptocurrency organizations should implement advanced security measures including:

  • Hardware security modules (HSMs) for transaction signing

  • Multi-party computation (MPC) approaches to eliminate single points of failure

  • Formal verification of critical smart contracts

  • Air-gapped transaction signing with robust verification mechanisms

General Defensive Considerations

Based on the observed evolution of Lazarus Group techniques, organizations should prioritize:

  1. Kernel-level Monitoring - To detect advanced techniques like BYOVD

  2. Driver Allowlisting - To prevent abuse of legitimate but vulnerable drivers

  3. Multi-platform Security - Ensuring equivalent protection across Windows, Linux, and macOS

  4. Advanced Social Engineering Training - Particularly for technical staff who might be targeted with sophisticated lures

  5. Segmentation and Least Privilege - To limit lateral movement opportunities

Organizations should operate under the assumption that determined threat actors can breach initial defenses and focus on detection, containment, and resilience strategies.

VII. Future Trajectory and Emerging Threats

Technical Evolution Forecast

Based on the observed pattern of technical advancement, we can anticipate several directions for Lazarus Group's future development:

  1. Advanced Smart Contract Manipulation - As DeFi platforms grow, expect sophisticated exploitation of smart contract vulnerabilities

  2. AI-Enhanced Social Engineering - Leveraging generative AI for more convincing targeted lures

  3. Supply Chain Compromise - Targeting software dependencies and development environments rather than end-targets directly

  4. Zero-day Exploitation Acceleration - Faster operational deployment of newly discovered vulnerabilities

  5. Cross-Chain Attack Techniques - Exploiting vulnerabilities in blockchain bridges and cross-chain technologies

The group has consistently demonstrated a willingness to invest in capability development when potential returns justify the investment. As cryptocurrency markets continue to grow, the incentive for continued innovation remains strong.

Target Prediction

Likely future targets include:

  1. DeFi Platforms - Particularly those managing large asset pools

  2. Cryptocurrency Infrastructure Providers - Including custody solutions and API services

  3. Web3 Development Organizations - As potential supply chain compromise targets

  4. Layer 1 Blockchain Projects - Especially those with complex governance mechanisms

  5. Critical National Infrastructure - As geopolitical tensions escalate

Each of these categories represents either a significant financial opportunity or strategic value, aligning with observed motivational patterns.

VIII. Conclusions and Recommendations

The Lazarus Group's evolution from relatively basic cyber operations in 2009 to the sophisticated $1.5 billion Bybit breach in 2025 demonstrates the long-term trajectory of advanced persistent threats. Their development path reveals a methodical approach to capability building, with each technical advancement building on previous successes and addressing operational limitations.

This pattern of sustained development poses significant challenges for defensive cybersecurity approaches, particularly when backed by state resources and protection from consequences. Traditional deterrence mechanisms have proven largely ineffective against this type of threat actor.

Strategic Defensive Recommendations

Based on this comprehensive analysis, organizations should consider:

  1. Assume Breach Posture - Design security architectures under the assumption that determined attackers will eventually succeed in gaining some level of access

  2. Defense in Depth with Focus on Detection - Multiple overlapping defensive layers with emphasis on rapid detection of anomalous behavior

  3. Red Team Exercises - Regular adversary simulation with specific focus on cryptocurrency theft scenarios

  4. Threat Intelligence Integration - Timely incorporation of threat intelligence into defensive controls

  5. Cross-organizational Collaboration - Information sharing across the cryptocurrency ecosystem to rapidly distribute attack indicators

  6. Supply Chain Security - Rigorous verification of all software components, particularly in transaction processing systems

  7. Regular Procedure Review - Continuous evaluation of operational security procedures, especially around high-value transactions

Industry-wide Considerations

Beyond individual organizational measures, broader industry initiatives are necessary:

  1. Standardized Security Frameworks for cryptocurrency organizations

  2. Collaborative Security Monitoring across exchanges to identify coordinated attacks

  3. Information Sharing Protocols specifically designed for cryptocurrency security incidents

  4. Regulatory Engagement to develop practical security standards without impeding innovation

The Lazarus Group's ongoing evolution serves as a case study in the development of advanced persistent threats and highlights the need for equally sophisticated and adaptive defensive approaches. By understanding their developmental trajectory, security leaders can better anticipate and prepare for the next generation of attacks from this and similar threat actors.

Stay Safe, Stay Secure.

Daniel Michan

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